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Major League Soccer
Jul 17, 2022 at 1am UK
Toyota Park
SS

Chicago Fire
1 - 0
Seattle

Czichos (23')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rowe (25')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Chicago Fire 1-1 Seattle Sounders

Given the differing form of the two sides, Sunday's game seems particularly tough to call, and we see a share of the spoils as the most likely outcome. The visitors will be desperate to bounce back from consecutive defeats but take on a Chicago side with renewed confidence from their win last time out, and we anticipate the points being shared as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 48.5%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 24.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Seattle Sounders win it was 0-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chicago Fire in this match.

Result
Chicago FireDrawSeattle Sounders
48.5% (0.00099999999999767 0) 27.12% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 24.37% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 45.21% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.94%59.05% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.49% (0.0019999999999989 0)79.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.54% (0.0010000000000048 0)24.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.1% (0.0019999999999953 0)58.9% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Seattle Sounders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.84% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)40.15% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.2% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)76.79% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 48.5%
    Seattle Sounders 24.37%
    Draw 27.11%
Chicago FireDrawSeattle Sounders
1-0 @ 13.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.74% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 8.89%
3-0 @ 4.57%
3-1 @ 4.17%
3-2 @ 1.9%
4-0 @ 1.61%
4-1 @ 1.47% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 48.5%
1-1 @ 12.61%
0-0 @ 9.82% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.05%
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 27.11%
0-1 @ 8.96% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 5.76%
0-2 @ 4.09%
1-3 @ 1.75%
0-3 @ 1.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 24.37%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Chicago Fire 2-0 Toronto
Thursday, July 14 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 2-3 Columbus Crew
Sunday, July 10 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 2-1 Chicago Fire
Monday, July 4 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-0 Philadelphia
Thursday, June 30 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 2-0 Chicago Fire
Sunday, June 26 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-0 DC United
Sunday, June 19 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 1-0 Seattle
Thursday, July 14 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 0-3 Portland
Saturday, July 9 at 9.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 0-2 Seattle
Sunday, July 3 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 1-2 Montreal
Thursday, June 30 at 3am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 3-0 Kansas
Saturday, June 25 at 8pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 1-1 Los Angeles
Saturday, June 18 at 8pm in Major League Soccer


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