As hard as Atlanta have fought to stay competitive, it seems as though the amount of injuries have taken a toll on them, and their body language shows a team that look demoralised, which rarely equates to positive results. When the defending champions are given even a slight opening, they will make you pay, and the Pigeons should be able to find a breakthrough eventually this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 62.62%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 17.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 1-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 1-2 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
New York City FC	Draw	Atlanta United
62.62% ( 0.29)	20.12% ( -0.02)	17.25% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 56.27% (

-0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.77% (

-0.36)

39.22% (

0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.44% (

-0.38)

61.55% (

0.38)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.01% (

-0.03)

11.98% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.59% (

-0.07)

37.4% (

0.07)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.93% (

-0.52)

36.07% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.15% (

-0.53)

72.85% (

0.53)

Score Analysis

New York City FC 62.62%

Atlanta United 17.25%

Draw 20.12%

New York City FC	Draw	Atlanta United
2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 7.02% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 3.72% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.58% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.93% Total : 62.62%	1-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.12%	1-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 4.41% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.49% Total : 17.25%