SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 22 | 1 | 30 |
| 5 | Seattle Sounders | 22 | 2 | 29 |
| 6 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 23 | -6 | 27 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dallas | 23 | 8 | 35 |
| 2 | Real Salt Lake | 23 | 1 | 34 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers | 23 | 4 | 31 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 59.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 17.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Dallas win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Seattle Sounders in this match.
| Result | ||
| Seattle Sounders | Draw | Dallas |
59.96% ( 1.17) | 22.32% ( -0.47) | 17.72% ( -0.7) |
| Both teams to score 49.88% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.84% ( 0.88) | 48.17% ( -0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.68% ( 0.81) | 70.32% ( -0.8) |
| Seattle Sounders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.34% ( 0.7) | 15.66% ( -0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.31% ( 1.28) | 44.69% ( -1.28) |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.14% ( -0.3) | 40.86% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.57% ( -0.27) | 77.43% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Seattle Sounders | Draw | Dallas |
| 1-0 @ 11.86% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 10.99% ( 0.12)2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.16)4-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 2.82% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.09)5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.2% Total : 59.95% | 1-1 @ 10.61% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.24)2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.9% Total : 22.32% | 0-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.95% Total : 17.72% |
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