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AU
Major League Soccer
Jul 10, 2022 at 12am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
AF

Atlanta
0 - 3
Austin


Araujo (25')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Felipe (9'), Finlay (17'), Driussi (57')
Gallagher (42')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY City 2-2 Atlanta
Sunday, July 3 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Colorado 2-3 Austin
Tuesday, July 5 at 2am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 1-2 Austin FC

Even though they always seem to leave it late, when Austin play with the kind of potency that we are seeing, it is difficult for any side to contain them. When you add to that the fact that the Five Stripes continuously suffer from at least one or two miscues each game, it would not be a surprise to see the Verde and Black win a fourth successive road fixture in what will be the first-ever meeting between both sides. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 60.74%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 17.86%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawAustin FC
60.74% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 21.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 17.86% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.13% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.03% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)43.97% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.64%66.35% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.98% (0.0010000000000048 0)14.01% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.45% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)41.55% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.78% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)38.21% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.02% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)74.97% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 60.74%
    Austin FC 17.86%
    Draw 21.39%
Atlanta UnitedDrawAustin FC
1-0 @ 10.52%
2-0 @ 10.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.95%
3-0 @ 6.77% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 6.52% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 3.33% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 3.13%
4-2 @ 1.54%
5-0 @ 1.31% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 60.74%
1-1 @ 10.12%
0-0 @ 5.36%
2-2 @ 4.78% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.39%
0-1 @ 5.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 4.87% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 2.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.56% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 17.86%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: NY City 2-2 Atlanta
Sunday, July 3 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-1 Atlanta
Friday, July 1 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 2-1 Atlanta
Sunday, June 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 2-0 Inter Miami
Sunday, June 19 at 8pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 1-2 Columbus Crew
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 2-2 Atlanta
Sunday, May 22 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Colorado 2-3 Austin
Tuesday, July 5 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 0-1 Austin
Friday, July 1 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 2-2 Dallas
Sunday, June 26 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 0-1 Austin
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 4-1 Austin
Sunday, May 29 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 2-2 Orlando City
Monday, May 23 at 1am in Major League Soccer


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