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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 43.76%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 2-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Austin FC | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
32.42% ( 0.02) | 23.81% ( -0) | 43.76% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 61% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59% ( 0.01) | 40.99% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.61% ( 0.01) | 63.38% ( -0.01) |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.32% ( 0.01) | 24.67% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.8% ( 0.02) | 59.2% ( -0.02) |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.98% ( -0) | 19.01% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.42% ( -0) | 50.57% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Austin FC | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
| 2-1 @ 7.63% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.56% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.59% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.56% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.14% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.71% Total : 32.42% | 1-1 @ 10.89% 2-2 @ 6.33% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.69% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.63% ( 0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.8% | 1-2 @ 9.05% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.79% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.46% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.01% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.58% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.5% 1-4 @ 2.08% 0-4 @ 1.49% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.45% Other @ 3.36% Total : 43.76% |
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