SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 60.2%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 18.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for an Austin FC win it was 1-2 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | Austin FC |
60.2% ( -0.58) | 21.27% ( 0.08) | 18.53% ( 0.5) |
| Both teams to score 54.85% ( 0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.68% ( 0.44) | 42.31% ( -0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.28% ( 0.44) | 64.72% ( -0.44) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.35% ( -0.03) | 13.64% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.18% ( -0.07) | 40.82% ( 0.07) |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.51% ( 0.82) | 36.48% ( -0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.73% ( 0.81) | 73.27% ( -0.81) |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | Austin FC |
| 2-1 @ 9.96% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.91% ( -0.21)2-0 @ 9.87% ( -0.22)3-1 @ 6.61% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.31% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.12% Total : 60.2% | 1-1 @ 10% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.11)0-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.27% | 1-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.56% Total : 18.53% |
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