BREAKING NEWS:

Major League Soccer

Jun 26, 2022 at 2am UK

Austin FC Stadium

Austin
2 - 2
Dallas

Driussi (72'), Hoesen (85')
Jimenez (10'), Gabrielsen (20'), Felipe (45+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Arriola (60'), Servania (68')
Antonio Martinez (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Dallas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Given the two teams' similarly positive starts to the MLS season, we predict a tight and intriguing encounter that could go either way. Ultimately, we cannot quite pick a winner, given Austin's momentum and home advantage could be cancelled out by the visitors' attacking firepower. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 49.44%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 26.56% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Dallas win was 0-1 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
Austin FC	Draw	Dallas
49.44% ( -0.42)	23.99% ( 0.05)	26.56% ( 0.36)

Both teams to score 56.53% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.81% (

0.06)

45.19% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.46% (

0.05)

67.53% (

-0.05)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.64% (

-0.14)

18.36% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.52% (

-0.24)

49.48% (

0.24)

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.25% (

0.31)

30.75% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.99% (

0.37)

67.01% (

-0.37)

Score Analysis

Austin FC 49.44%

Dallas 26.56%

Draw 23.99%

Austin FC	Draw	Dallas
1-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 5.4% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 3.44% Total : 49.44%	1-1 @ 11.28% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.99%	0-1 @ 6.66% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.95% Total : 26.56%