SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Real Salt Lake | 15 | -1 | 25 |
| 3 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 14 | 1 | 23 |
| 4 | Colorado Rapids | 14 | 2 | 18 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Real Salt Lake | 15 | -1 | 25 |
| 4 | Austin FC | 14 | 10 | 24 |
| 5 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 14 | 1 | 23 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 51.24%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 25.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Austin FC |
51.24% ( -0.39) | 23.35% ( 0.17) | 25.41% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 57.62% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.74% ( -0.57) | 43.26% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.34% ( -0.56) | 65.65% ( 0.56) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.05% ( -0.36) | 16.95% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.96% ( -0.63) | 47.03% ( 0.63) |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.38% ( -0.13) | 30.62% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.14% ( -0.15) | 66.86% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Austin FC |
| 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.14% Total : 51.24% | 1-1 @ 10.9% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.34% | 1-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.95% Total : 25.41% |
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