Real Salt Lake's near-perfect home record this term means that it is hard to envisage any other outcome than a home win, and while we expect the visitors to put up a good fight, we are backing the hosts to emerge victorious. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 44.23%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.

Result
Real Salt Lake	Draw	Austin FC
44.23%	25.43%	30.33%

Both teams to score 54.42%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.82%

49.17%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.76%

71.24%

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.8%

22.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.39%

55.6%

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.95%

30.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.82%

66.18%

Score Analysis

Real Salt Lake 44.22%

Austin FC 30.33%

Draw 25.43%

Real Salt Lake	Draw	Austin FC
1-0 @ 10.03% 2-1 @ 9.09% 2-0 @ 7.56% 3-1 @ 4.56% 3-0 @ 3.79% 3-2 @ 2.74% 4-1 @ 1.72% 4-0 @ 1.43% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.28% Total : 44.22%	1-1 @ 12.07% 0-0 @ 6.67% 2-2 @ 5.46% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.43%	0-1 @ 8.02% 1-2 @ 7.26% 0-2 @ 4.82% 1-3 @ 2.91% 2-3 @ 2.19% 0-3 @ 1.93% Other @ 3.21% Total : 30.33%