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VW
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 19
Sep 5, 2021 at 12am UK
Empire Field
AF

Vancouver
2 - 1
Austin

Godoy (70'), Caicedo (83')
Caicedo (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Driussi (45')
Fagundez (7'), Kleemann (79')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 44.47%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.

Result
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawAustin FC
44.47%25.2%30.33%
Both teams to score 55.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.85%48.15%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.69%70.31%
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.35%21.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.22%54.78%
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.46%29.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.45%65.55%
Score Analysis
    Vancouver Whitecaps 44.47%
    Austin FC 30.33%
    Draw 25.19%
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawAustin FC
1-0 @ 9.78%
2-1 @ 9.13%
2-0 @ 7.49%
3-1 @ 4.66%
3-0 @ 3.82%
3-2 @ 2.84%
4-1 @ 1.78%
4-0 @ 1.46%
4-2 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 44.47%
1-1 @ 11.93%
0-0 @ 6.4%
2-2 @ 5.57%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 7.8%
1-2 @ 7.28%
0-2 @ 4.76%
1-3 @ 2.96%
2-3 @ 2.26%
0-3 @ 1.93%
1-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 30.33%

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