Nashville's struggle to keep clean sheets could prove to be problematic against Charlotte, but captain Zimmerman could be key to marshalling their defence.
On the other hand, Charlotte have had difficulties in front of goal, and it remains to be seen whether their recent increased output is reflective of genuine, sustained improvement under Dean Smith.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 47.15%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Charlotte FC in this match.
-0.06) 
0.01) 
