Something just doesn't seem right with the defending champions at the moment, and the Fire should be able to take advantage of that this week in a game that means a lot more to them than it does to the visitors. The Pigeons seem to be missing a little imagination and creativity in the attack right now, while they look unusually disorganized along the backline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 37.48%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 36.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-0 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
Chicago Fire	Draw	New York City FC
36.16% ( -0.04)	26.35% ( -0.01)	37.48% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 53.03% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.3% (

0.04)

51.69% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.53% (

0.03)

73.47% (

-0.04)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.44% (

-0.01)

27.56% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.92% (

-0.01)

63.08% (

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.21% (

0.05)

26.79% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.92% (

0.06)

62.08% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Chicago Fire 36.16%

New York City FC 37.48%

Draw 26.35%

Chicago Fire	Draw	New York City FC
1-0 @ 9.52% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.08% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.47% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 36.16%	1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.35%	0-1 @ 9.73% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.25% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.21% Total : 37.48%