Overall the Fire have been a lot livelier and more creative over the past couple of months, but they still make their share of individual errors, which have cost them dearly. Montreal are brimming with confidence, scoring multiple goals in four straight games, and they just played perhaps their best match of the season without arguably their best player, so expect them to be very determined and hungry on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.

Result
Chicago Fire	Draw	CF Montreal
41.21% ( 0.1)	26.86% ( 0.07)	31.94% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 50.61% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.58% (

-0.33)

54.42% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.21% (

-0.28)

75.79% (

0.28)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.99% (

-0.1)

26.01% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.96% (

-0.13)

61.04% (

0.14)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.4% (

-0.28)

31.61% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.99% (

-0.33)

68.01% (

0.33)

Score Analysis

Chicago Fire 41.21%

CF Montreal 31.94%

Draw 26.86%

Chicago Fire	Draw	CF Montreal
1-0 @ 11.07% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 41.21%	1-1 @ 12.75% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.86%	0-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.34% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.86% Total : 31.94%