Overall the Fire have been a lot livelier and more creative over the past couple of months, but they still make their share of individual errors, which have cost them dearly.
Montreal are brimming with confidence, scoring multiple goals in four straight games, and they just played perhaps their best match of the season without arguably their best player, so expect them to be very determined and hungry on Saturday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.
0.1) 
-0.17) 
