Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Toronto | 30 | -6 | 34 |
7 | Chicago Fire | 29 | -10 | 32 |
8 | Sporting Kansas City | 29 | -14 | 30 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | New England Revolution | 29 | 0 | 38 |
9 | Inter Miami | 28 | -7 | 36 |
10 | Toronto | 30 | -6 | 34 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 51.99%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 22.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.
Result | ||
Chicago Fire | Draw | Inter Miami |
51.99% ( -0.31) | 25.49% ( 0.06) | 22.52% ( 0.25) |
Both teams to score 47.75% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.24% ( -0) | 54.76% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.93% ( -0) | 76.07% ( 0) |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.91% ( -0.13) | 21.09% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.09% ( -0.21) | 53.91% ( 0.21) |
Inter Miami Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.51% ( 0.24) | 39.49% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.82% ( 0.22) | 76.18% ( -0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Chicago Fire | Draw | Inter Miami |
1-0 @ 12.96% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 10.08% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.86% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.28% Total : 51.98% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.33% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.77% Total : 25.49% | 0-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.4% Total : 22.52% |
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