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Major League Soccer
Sep 11, 2022 at 1am UK
Toyota Park
IM

Chicago Fire
3 - 1
Inter Miami

Duran (40', 87'), Shaqiri (64')
Czichos (33'), Navarro (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Higuain (77' pen.)
McVey (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Columbus Crew 0-0 Chicago Fire
Saturday, September 3 at 10.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-0 Inter Miami
Thursday, September 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Chicago Fire 2-2 Inter Miami

Although Inter Miami will be desperate to claim all three points to help their playoff push, their away form this season suggests that winning on Saturday could prove difficult, and we think that the visitors will have to settle for a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 51.99%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 22.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.

Result
Chicago FireDrawInter Miami
51.99% (-0.309 -0.31) 25.49% (0.062000000000001 0.06) 22.52% (0.247 0.25)
Both teams to score 47.75% (0.111 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.24% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)54.76% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.93% (-0.004999999999999 -0)76.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.91% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)21.09% (0.131 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.09% (-0.20699999999999 -0.21)53.91% (0.206 0.21)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.51% (0.242 0.24)39.49% (-0.241 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.82% (0.223 0.22)76.18% (-0.224 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 51.98%
    Inter Miami 22.52%
    Draw 25.49%
Chicago FireDrawInter Miami
1-0 @ 12.96% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 10.08% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.23% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.86% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.04% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.89% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 51.98%
1-1 @ 12.04% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.33% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 4.35% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 7.74% (0.052 0.05)
1-2 @ 5.59% (0.052 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.59% (0.047 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.73% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.35% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.11% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 22.52%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Columbus Crew 0-0 Chicago Fire
Saturday, September 3 at 10.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 0-0 Chicago Fire
Thursday, September 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 0-2 Montreal
Sunday, August 28 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 0-2 NY City
Sunday, August 21 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 4-1 Chicago Fire
Sunday, August 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 2-3 Chicago Fire
Sunday, August 7 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-0 Inter Miami
Thursday, September 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 3-1 Inter Miami
Sunday, August 28 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 Toronto
Sunday, August 21 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 3-2 NY City
Sunday, August 14 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 2-2 Inter Miami
Sunday, August 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 0-1 Inter Miami
Thursday, August 4 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer


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