Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
