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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 18
Jul 25, 2021 at 1am UK
Toyota Park
TF

Chicago Fire
1 - 2
Toronto

Medran (77')
Pineda (70')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Soteldo (2'), DeLeon (76')
Singh (81')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 51.91%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 25.63% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Chicago FireDrawToronto
51.91%22.46%25.63%
Both teams to score 60.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.04%38.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.72%61.28%
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.84%15.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.25%43.75%
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.83%28.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.14%63.86%
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 51.91%
    Toronto 25.63%
    Draw 22.46%
Chicago FireDrawToronto
2-1 @ 9.63%
1-0 @ 8.06%
2-0 @ 7.6%
3-1 @ 6.06%
3-0 @ 4.78%
3-2 @ 3.84%
4-1 @ 2.86%
4-0 @ 2.26%
4-2 @ 1.81%
5-1 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 51.91%
1-1 @ 10.2%
2-2 @ 6.1%
0-0 @ 4.27%
3-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.46%
1-2 @ 6.47%
0-1 @ 5.41%
0-2 @ 3.43%
1-3 @ 2.73%
2-3 @ 2.58%
0-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 25.63%

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