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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 20
Aug 1, 2021 at 11pm UK
PPL Park
CF

Philadelphia
1 - 1
Chicago Fire

Wagner (36')
Glesnes (30'), Elliott (66')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Frankowski (10')
Herbers (41'), Beric (78')
Omsberg (34')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 55.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 21.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawChicago Fire
55.84%23.14%21.03%
Both teams to score 52.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.01%46.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.76%69.24%
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.34%16.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.49%46.51%
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.42%36.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.63%73.37%
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 55.84%
    Chicago Fire 21.03%
    Draw 23.13%
Philadelphia UnionDrawChicago Fire
1-0 @ 10.92%
2-1 @ 9.84%
2-0 @ 9.79%
3-1 @ 5.88%
3-0 @ 5.85%
3-2 @ 2.96%
4-1 @ 2.64%
4-0 @ 2.62%
4-2 @ 1.33%
5-1 @ 0.95%
5-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 55.84%
1-1 @ 10.98%
0-0 @ 6.09%
2-2 @ 4.95%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.13%
0-1 @ 6.13%
1-2 @ 5.52%
0-2 @ 3.08%
1-3 @ 1.85%
2-3 @ 1.66%
0-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 21.03%

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