Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 55.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 21.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
