MX23RW : Saturday, April 27 13:00:03
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Saturday, April 27
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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 16
Jul 18, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Nissan Stadium
CF

Nashville
5 - 1
Chicago Fire

Williams (10', 13', 16'), Sapong (39'), Anunga (62')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Aliseda (47')
Pineda (27'), Navarro (49')
Kappelhof (14')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 52.46%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 22.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.

Result
Nashville SCDrawChicago Fire
52.46%25.02%22.52%
Both teams to score 49.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.01%52.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.41%74.58%
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.81%20.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.5%52.49%
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.5%38.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.75%75.24%
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 52.45%
    Chicago Fire 22.52%
    Draw 25.02%
Nashville SCDrawChicago Fire
1-0 @ 12.43%
2-0 @ 9.95%
2-1 @ 9.5%
3-0 @ 5.31%
3-1 @ 5.07%
3-2 @ 2.42%
4-0 @ 2.12%
4-1 @ 2.03%
4-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 52.45%
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 7.77%
2-2 @ 4.53%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 25.02%
0-1 @ 7.42%
1-2 @ 5.67%
0-2 @ 3.54%
1-3 @ 1.8%
2-3 @ 1.44%
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 22.52%

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