Houston come into the game on a high as they seek a fourth win in five matches. However, their record in this fixture does not make for good reading, so we are backing a share of the spoils with honours even at the sound of the final whistle.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 47.76%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 26.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
