Although Portland are currently two points behind their opponents, they have won their last four competitive meetings with Real Salt Lake, and as they seem to have the upper hand in recent duels, we think that the hosts will claim all three points on Saturday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 56.92%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 20.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
