With hopes of silverware before the season kicked off, Portland's confidence remains high after a steady first three games in MLS.
Dallas will not be a pushover for the Timbers, yet their unbeaten record is likely to remain intact come the end of the weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 58.01%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 18.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.