SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 17 | 1 | 24 |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 16 | 2 | 21 |
| 6 | Houston Dynamo | 17 | 0 | 21 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 17 | 9 | 29 |
| 2 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 6 | 29 |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 17 | 5 | 29 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 52.57%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 22.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
52.57% ( 0.04) | 24.45% ( 0.04) | 22.98% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 51.33% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.7% ( -0.24) | 50.3% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.75% ( -0.22) | 72.25% ( 0.22) |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.9% ( -0.07) | 19.09% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.29% ( -0.13) | 50.71% ( 0.13) |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.44% ( -0.21) | 36.56% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.65% ( -0.21) | 73.35% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
| 1-0 @ 11.55% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.19% 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.05% Total : 52.56% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.03)Other @ 1% Total : 24.45% | 0-1 @ 7.03% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.79% Total : 22.98% |
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