The teams have had little problem finding the back of the net so far, so we expect goals at both ends in this one. That said, the visitors boast a significantly superior defence, and we are backing them to emerge triumphant, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 58.22%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 19.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
New England Revolution	Draw	Philadelphia Union
58.22% ( -0.21)	22.26% ( 0.08)	19.52% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 53.32% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.8% (

-0.17)

45.2% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.45% (

-0.16)

67.55% (

0.16)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.78% (

-0.12)

15.22% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.12% (

-0.23)

43.88% (

0.23)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.89% (

0.04)

37.1% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.11% (

0.04)

73.89% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

New England Revolution 58.22%

Philadelphia Union 19.52%

Draw 22.25%

New England Revolution	Draw	Philadelphia Union
1-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.52% Total : 58.22%	1-1 @ 10.54% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.25%	0-1 @ 5.6% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.65% Total : 19.52%