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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 5
May 8, 2021 at 8.30pm UK
Pizza Hut Park
HD

Dallas
1 - 1
Houston

Obrian (42')
Bressan (34'), Obrian (54'), Acosta (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Picault (34' pen.)
Rodriguez (44'), Vera (44'), Corona (46')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 57.05%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 20.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 1-2 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
DallasDrawHouston Dynamo
57.05%21.96%20.98%
Both teams to score 56.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.12%41.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.71%64.29%
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.52%14.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.54%42.46%
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.28%33.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.62%70.37%
Score Analysis
    Dallas 57.05%
    Houston Dynamo 20.98%
    Draw 21.96%
DallasDrawHouston Dynamo
2-1 @ 9.91%
1-0 @ 9.44%
2-0 @ 9.12%
3-1 @ 6.38%
3-0 @ 5.87%
3-2 @ 3.47%
4-1 @ 3.08%
4-0 @ 2.84%
4-2 @ 1.68%
5-1 @ 1.19%
5-0 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 57.05%
1-1 @ 10.25%
2-2 @ 5.39%
0-0 @ 4.88%
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.96%
1-2 @ 5.58%
0-1 @ 5.31%
0-2 @ 2.89%
1-3 @ 2.02%
2-3 @ 1.95%
0-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 20.98%

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