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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 51.01%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 24.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 0-1 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dallas | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
51.01% ( -0.52) | 24.73% ( -0.05) | 24.26% ( 0.56) |
| Both teams to score 51.92% ( 0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.78% ( 0.69) | 50.22% ( -0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.82% ( 0.61) | 72.18% ( -0.61) |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.31% ( 0.06) | 19.69% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.32% ( 0.1) | 51.68% ( -0.1) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.65% ( 0.88) | 35.35% ( -0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.89% ( 0.91) | 72.11% ( -0.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dallas | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 1-0 @ 11.31% ( -0.29) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.22)3-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 2.1% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.88% Total : 51.01% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.73% | 0-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.06)Other @ 2% Total : 24.26% |
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