Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Toronto win was 0-1 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.