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FC
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 30
Sep 12, 2021 at 1am UK
Nippert Stadium
TF

Cincinnati
2 - 0
Toronto

Brenner (39'), Medunjanin (58')
Medunjanin (45+3'), Cameron (50'), Vallecilla (84'), Valot (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Morrow (37')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Toronto win was 0-1 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawToronto
42.54%27.39%30.06%
Both teams to score 48.27%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.95%57.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.06%77.93%
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.48%26.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.29%61.71%
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.68%34.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.98%71.01%
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 42.53%
    Toronto 30.06%
    Draw 27.39%
FC CincinnatiDrawToronto
1-0 @ 12.07%
2-1 @ 8.58%
2-0 @ 8.02%
3-1 @ 3.79%
3-0 @ 3.55%
3-2 @ 2.03%
4-1 @ 1.26%
4-0 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 42.53%
1-1 @ 12.91%
0-0 @ 9.1%
2-2 @ 4.59%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.39%
0-1 @ 9.73%
1-2 @ 6.91%
0-2 @ 5.2%
1-3 @ 2.46%
0-3 @ 1.86%
2-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 30.06%

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