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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 23
Aug 8, 2021 at 1am UK
BMO Field
NY

Toronto
2 - 2
NY City

Laryea (49'), Pozuelo (55')
Soteldo (25'), Laryea (36'), Priso-Mbongue (63')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Rodriguez (12'), Tajouri (21')
Morales (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 50.35%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 26.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.2%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Toronto win was 2-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
TorontoDrawNew York City FC
26.11%23.54%50.35%
Both teams to score 57.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.45%43.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.06%65.94%
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.76%30.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.6%66.4%
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.61%17.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.19%47.8%
Score Analysis
    Toronto 26.11%
    New York City FC 50.35%
    Draw 23.54%
TorontoDrawNew York City FC
2-1 @ 6.58%
1-0 @ 6.29%
2-0 @ 3.76%
3-1 @ 2.62%
3-2 @ 2.3%
3-0 @ 1.5%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 26.11%
1-1 @ 11%
2-2 @ 5.76%
0-0 @ 5.26%
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.54%
1-2 @ 9.62%
0-1 @ 9.2%
0-2 @ 8.04%
1-3 @ 5.61%
0-3 @ 4.69%
2-3 @ 3.36%
1-4 @ 2.45%
0-4 @ 2.05%
2-4 @ 1.47%
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 50.35%

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