Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Toronto win was 2-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for New England Revolution in this match.
