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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 25
Aug 15, 2021 at 1am UK
BMO Field
NE

Toronto
1 - 2
New England

Osorio (79')
Delgado (48')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Buchanan (20'), Bou (83' pen.)
Bye (63')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Toronto win was 2-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for New England Revolution in this match.

Result
TorontoDrawNew England Revolution
31.12%24.14%44.74%
Both teams to score 59.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.9%43.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.5%65.5%
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.5%26.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.31%61.69%
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.55%19.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.7%51.29%
Score Analysis
    Toronto 31.12%
    New England Revolution 44.74%
    Draw 24.14%
TorontoDrawNew England Revolution
2-1 @ 7.44%
1-0 @ 6.85%
2-0 @ 4.55%
3-1 @ 3.3%
3-2 @ 2.7%
3-0 @ 2.01%
4-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 31.12%
1-1 @ 11.2%
2-2 @ 6.09%
0-0 @ 5.15%
3-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.14%
1-2 @ 9.18%
0-1 @ 8.44%
0-2 @ 6.91%
1-3 @ 5.01%
0-3 @ 3.77%
2-3 @ 3.33%
1-4 @ 2.05%
0-4 @ 1.54%
2-4 @ 1.36%
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 44.74%

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