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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 26
Aug 19, 2021 at 12am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
TF

Atlanta
1 - 0
Toronto

Barco (20')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 59.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 17.43%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atlanta United in this match.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawToronto
59.84%22.73%17.43%
Both teams to score 48.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.72%50.27%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.77%72.22%
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.57%16.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.9%46.09%
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.54%42.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.17%78.83%
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 59.82%
    Toronto 17.43%
    Draw 22.73%
Atlanta UnitedDrawToronto
1-0 @ 12.59%
2-0 @ 11.37%
2-1 @ 9.75%
3-0 @ 6.85%
3-1 @ 5.87%
4-0 @ 3.09%
4-1 @ 2.65%
3-2 @ 2.51%
4-2 @ 1.14%
5-0 @ 1.12%
5-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 59.82%
1-1 @ 10.79%
0-0 @ 6.97%
2-2 @ 4.18%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 22.73%
0-1 @ 5.97%
1-2 @ 4.62%
0-2 @ 2.56%
1-3 @ 1.32%
2-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 17.43%

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