SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 17 | -3 | 21 |
| 6 | Portland Timbers | 17 | -1 | 19 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 16 | -1 | 19 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 17 | 1 | 24 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 16 | 1 | 21 |
| 6 | Columbus Crew | 15 | 1 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 60.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 17.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Portland Timbers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Portland Timbers.
| Result | ||
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
60.88% ( -0.22) | 21.38% ( 0.07) | 17.74% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 52.92% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.87% ( -0.07) | 44.13% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.49% ( -0.07) | 66.51% ( 0.07) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.98% ( -0.09) | 14.02% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.43% ( -0.18) | 41.57% ( 0.18) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.55% ( 0.13) | 38.45% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.8% ( 0.13) | 75.2% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 1-0 @ 10.59% 2-0 @ 10.4% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 9.94% 3-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 6.51% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.2% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.86% Total : 60.87% | 1-1 @ 10.12% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.38% | 0-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.23% Total : 17.74% |
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