Major League Soccer

Jun 30, 2022 at 3.30am UK

Jeld-Wen Field

Portland
2 - 1
Houston

Moreno (34' pen., 36')
Blanco (17'), Zuparic (27'), Moreno (42'), Tuiloma (54'), Williamson (72')
Tuiloma (75')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Quintero (65')
Rodriguez (21'), Zeca (34'), Hadebe (44'), Vera (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Portland Timbers 2-1 Houston Dynamo

Although Portland are currently two points adrift of their opponents in the Western Conference, they usually fare well in home meetings with Houston, and we think that they will edge out the visitors to claim consecutive victories for the first time this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 60.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 17.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Portland Timbers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Portland Timbers.

Result
Portland Timbers	Draw	Houston Dynamo
60.88% ( -0.22)	21.38% ( 0.07)	17.74% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 52.92% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.87% (

-0.07)

44.13% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.49% (

-0.07)

66.51% (

0.07)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.98% (

-0.09)

14.02% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.43% (

-0.18)

41.57% (

0.18)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.55% (

0.13)

38.45% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.8% (

0.13)

75.2% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Portland Timbers 60.87%

Houston Dynamo 17.74%

Draw 21.38%

Portland Timbers	Draw	Houston Dynamo
1-0 @ 10.59% 2-0 @ 10.4% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.94% 3-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 6.51% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.2% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.86% Total : 60.87%	1-1 @ 10.12% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.38%	0-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.23% Total : 17.74%