SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 68.48%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 13.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Colorado Rapids win it was 0-1 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
68.48% ( 0.26) | 18.46% ( -0.14) | 13.06% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 51.47% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.67% ( 0.35) | 40.33% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.29% ( 0.36) | 62.71% ( -0.36) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.25% ( 0.16) | 10.75% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.28% ( 0.37) | 34.72% ( -0.37) |
| Colorado Rapids Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.67% ( 0.03) | 42.33% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.28% ( 0.03) | 78.72% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
| 2-0 @ 11.31% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.1)2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 4.03% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.18% Total : 68.47% | 1-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0)Other @ 1.01% Total : 18.46% | 0-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.2% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.45% Total : 13.06% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
