SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 49.22%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 26.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 0-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
49.22% ( 0.06) | 24.18% ( -0) | 26.59% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 55.92% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.98% ( -0.05) | 46.01% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.68% ( -0.05) | 68.32% ( 0.05) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.23% ( 0) | 18.76% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.84% ( 0.01) | 50.16% ( -0.01) |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.83% ( -0.08) | 31.16% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.5% ( -0.09) | 67.49% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
| 1-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.32% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.23% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.91% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0)Other @ 3.28% Total : 49.22% | 1-1 @ 11.4% 0-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.18% | 0-1 @ 6.82% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.86% Total : 26.59% |
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