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US Open Cup | Final
Sep 28, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
HD

Inter Miami
1 - 2
Houston

Martinez (90+1')
Krivtsov (16'), Allen (19'), Yedlin (32')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Dorsey (24'), Bassi (33' pen.)
Escobar (12')
Coverage of the US Open Cup Final clash between Inter Miami and Houston Dynamo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Orlando City 1-1 Inter Miami
Monday, September 25 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 2-1 Houston
Sunday, September 24 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 35.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawHouston Dynamo
39.39% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 25.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 35.48% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 57.19% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.66% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)46.33% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.37% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)68.62% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.68% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)23.31% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.74% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)57.26% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.57% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)25.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.75% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)60.24% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 39.39%
    Houston Dynamo 35.48%
    Draw 25.11%
Inter MiamiDrawHouston Dynamo
1-0 @ 8.63% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 8.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 6.28% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.18% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.52% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 39.39%
1-1 @ 11.81%
0-0 @ 5.93% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.89% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 8.12% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.09% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 5.56% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.54% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.27%
2-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 35.48%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Orlando City 1-1 Inter Miami
Monday, September 25 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 4-0 Toronto
Thursday, September 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 5-2 Inter Miami
Saturday, September 16 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 3-2 Kansas
Sunday, September 10 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 1-3 Inter Miami
Monday, September 4 at 3am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 0-0 Nashville
Thursday, August 31 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 2-1 Houston
Sunday, September 24 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 4-1 Vancouver
Thursday, September 21 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 1-1 St Louis City
Sunday, September 17 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 0-0 Houston
Sunday, September 3 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 2-0 Columbus Crew
Thursday, August 31 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 0-3 Houston
Sunday, August 27 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer


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