SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 58.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 18.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Colorado Rapids | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
58.49% ( 0.34) | 22.86% ( -0.15) | 18.64% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 49.9% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.99% ( 0.36) | 49% ( -0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.91% ( 0.33) | 71.08% ( -0.33) |
| Colorado Rapids Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.55% ( 0.25) | 16.44% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.87% ( 0.44) | 46.12% ( -0.44) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.72% ( -0) | 40.28% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.09% ( 0) | 76.91% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colorado Rapids | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 1-0 @ 11.95% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 10.79% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.67% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.02% Total : 58.49% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.9% Total : 22.86% | 0-1 @ 6.02% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0)Other @ 2.09% Total : 18.64% |
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