SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 48.16%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 26.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colorado Rapids would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Colorado Rapids | Draw | New England Revolution |
48.16% ( 0.51) | 25.48% ( -0.66) | 26.36% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 51.59% ( 2.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.38% ( 2.67) | 51.62% ( -2.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.59% ( 2.28) | 73.4% ( -2.27) |
| Colorado Rapids Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.55% ( 1.34) | 21.44% ( -1.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.53% ( 2.02) | 54.46% ( -2.02) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.67% ( 1.57) | 34.33% ( -1.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.97% ( 1.64) | 71.03% ( -1.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colorado Rapids | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 1-0 @ 11.33% ( -0.76) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.22)3-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.27)3-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.25)4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.17)4-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.39% Total : 48.16% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( -0.28) 0-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.82)2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.29)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.51) 1-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.17)0-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.21% Total : 26.36% |
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