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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 40
Oct 17, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Robertson Stadium
SS

Houston
2 - 1
Seattle

Urruti (15'), Quintero (20')
Figueroa (79'), Corona (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Medranda (41')
Arreaga (54'), Paulo (90+4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawSeattle Sounders
42.91%25.89%31.21%
Both teams to score 53.37%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.27%50.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.37%72.63%
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.51%23.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.48%57.52%
Seattle Sounders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.76%30.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.6%66.4%
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 42.9%
    Seattle Sounders 31.21%
    Draw 25.88%
Houston DynamoDrawSeattle Sounders
1-0 @ 10.28%
2-1 @ 8.91%
2-0 @ 7.45%
3-1 @ 4.3%
3-0 @ 3.6%
3-2 @ 2.57%
4-1 @ 1.56%
4-0 @ 1.3%
4-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 42.9%
1-1 @ 12.3%
0-0 @ 7.1%
2-2 @ 5.33%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.88%
0-1 @ 8.5%
1-2 @ 7.36%
0-2 @ 5.08%
1-3 @ 2.94%
2-3 @ 2.13%
0-3 @ 2.03%
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 31.21%

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