Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 43.77%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.