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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 20
Jul 31, 2021 at 3am UK
The Home Depot Center
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LA Galaxy
4 - 1
Portland

Raveloson (27'), Vazquez (34'), Kljestan (53' pen.), Grandsir (56')
Villafana (62')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Ebobisse (29')
van Rankin (74'), Chara (83'), Mabiala (90+6')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 43.77%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawPortland Timbers
43.77%24.51%31.72%
Both teams to score 58.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.46%44.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.09%66.91%
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.54%20.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.07%52.93%
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.17%26.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.87%62.12%
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles Galaxy 43.77%
    Portland Timbers 31.72%
    Draw 24.51%
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawPortland Timbers
2-1 @ 9.09%
1-0 @ 8.71%
2-0 @ 6.91%
3-1 @ 4.81%
3-0 @ 3.65%
3-2 @ 3.16%
4-1 @ 1.91%
4-0 @ 1.45%
4-2 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 43.77%
1-1 @ 11.46%
2-2 @ 5.98%
0-0 @ 5.49%
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.51%
1-2 @ 7.54%
0-1 @ 7.22%
0-2 @ 4.75%
1-3 @ 3.31%
2-3 @ 2.62%
0-3 @ 2.08%
1-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 31.72%

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