DC United will be severely lacking in confidence following their consecutive defeats, while Austin have enjoyed an impressive start, and we predict an away victory as a result.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 50.04%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 25.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 0-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.