Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 59.28%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 20.8% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.6%) and 3-1 (7.1%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (5.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.