SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 48.77%. A win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Colorado Rapids win was 0-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Louis City | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
48.77% ( 1.13) | 24.8% ( -0.39) | 26.43% ( -0.75) |
| Both teams to score 53.78% ( 0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.23% ( 1.09) | 48.76% ( -1.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.13% ( 0.98) | 70.87% ( -0.98) |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.97% ( 0.92) | 20.03% ( -0.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.76% ( 1.46) | 52.23% ( -1.46) |
| Colorado Rapids Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.25% ( -0.02) | 32.75% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.7% ( -0.02) | 69.3% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Louis City | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
| 1-0 @ 10.54% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.2)3-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.82% Total : 48.77% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.3)2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.79% | 0-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.34) 1-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.52% Total : 26.43% |
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