Colorado have shared the points in five of their nine home league games this season, while Portland have won just once on their travels. We are therefore finding it difficult to back either side with any real confidence here, with a low-scoring draw the most likely outcome on Tuesday.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 54.54%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
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