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Wednesday, December 25
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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 18
Jul 25, 2021 at 1am UK
National Sports Center
PT

Minnesota Utd
2 - 1
Portland

Gasper (74'), Lod (85')
Lod (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mora (10')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 53.66%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 23.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Minnesota United in this match.

Result
Minnesota UnitedDrawPortland Timbers
53.66%22.87%23.47%
Both teams to score 57.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.97%43.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.57%65.43%
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84%16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.67%45.33%
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.89%32.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.42%68.58%
Score Analysis
    Minnesota United 53.66%
    Portland Timbers 23.47%
    Draw 22.87%
Minnesota UnitedDrawPortland Timbers
2-1 @ 9.8%
1-0 @ 9.42%
2-0 @ 8.63%
3-1 @ 5.99%
3-0 @ 5.27%
3-2 @ 3.4%
4-1 @ 2.74%
4-0 @ 2.41%
4-2 @ 1.56%
5-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 53.66%
1-1 @ 10.69%
2-2 @ 5.57%
0-0 @ 5.14%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.87%
1-2 @ 6.08%
0-1 @ 5.84%
0-2 @ 3.32%
1-3 @ 2.3%
2-3 @ 2.11%
0-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 23.47%

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