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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 18
Jul 25, 2021 at 3am UK
Buck Shaw Stadium
HD

Earthquakes
1 - 1
Houston

Valentin (45+5' og.)
Cardoso (70')
Fierro (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Vera (40')
Picault (53'), Parker (57'), Vera (68'), Urruti (90+8')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 53.3%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 23.65% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawHouston Dynamo
53.3%23.04%23.65%
Both teams to score 56.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.41%43.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.02%65.97%
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.67%16.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.08%45.91%
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.75%32.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.25%68.74%
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 53.3%
    Houston Dynamo 23.66%
    Draw 23.03%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawHouston Dynamo
2-1 @ 9.79%
1-0 @ 9.54%
2-0 @ 8.65%
3-1 @ 5.91%
3-0 @ 5.22%
3-2 @ 3.35%
4-1 @ 2.68%
4-0 @ 2.37%
4-2 @ 1.52%
5-1 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 53.3%
1-1 @ 10.79%
2-2 @ 5.54%
0-0 @ 5.27%
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.03%
1-2 @ 6.11%
0-1 @ 5.96%
0-2 @ 3.37%
1-3 @ 2.31%
2-3 @ 2.09%
0-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 23.66%

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