Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 51.77%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 23.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.
