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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 41
Oct 21, 2021 at 1am UK
National Sports Center
PU

Minnesota Utd
3 - 2
Philadelphia

Hunou (41'), Lod (63'), Fragapane (67')
Reynoso (84')
Metanire (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gazdag (45', 54')
Mbaizo (5'), Wagner (78'), Andres Martinez (83')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 51.77%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 23.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.

Result
Minnesota UnitedDrawPhiladelphia Union
51.77%24.7%23.53%
Both teams to score 51.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.25%50.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.35%72.65%
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.41%19.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.48%51.52%
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.7%36.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.91%73.09%
Score Analysis
    Minnesota United 51.77%
    Philadelphia Union 23.53%
    Draw 24.69%
Minnesota UnitedDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 11.59%
2-1 @ 9.58%
2-0 @ 9.45%
3-1 @ 5.2%
3-0 @ 5.14%
3-2 @ 2.64%
4-1 @ 2.12%
4-0 @ 2.09%
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 51.77%
1-1 @ 11.74%
0-0 @ 7.11%
2-2 @ 4.85%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 24.69%
0-1 @ 7.21%
1-2 @ 5.95%
0-2 @ 3.65%
1-3 @ 2.01%
2-3 @ 1.64%
0-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 23.53%

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