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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 40
Oct 17, 2021 at 2am UK
Austin FC Stadium
MU

Austin
0 - 1
Minnesota Utd


Cascante (42')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fragapane (16')
Reynoso (59'), Gasper (90+2'), Alonso (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 42.23%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Austin FCDrawMinnesota United
42.23%24.71%33.06%
Both teams to score 58.06%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.04%44.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.69%67.32%
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.66%21.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.7%54.3%
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.8%26.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.71%61.29%
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 42.23%
    Minnesota United 33.06%
    Draw 24.7%
Austin FCDrawMinnesota United
2-1 @ 8.93%
1-0 @ 8.63%
2-0 @ 6.67%
3-1 @ 4.6%
3-0 @ 3.43%
3-2 @ 3.08%
4-1 @ 1.78%
4-0 @ 1.33%
4-2 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 42.23%
1-1 @ 11.56%
2-2 @ 5.98%
0-0 @ 5.59%
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.7%
1-2 @ 7.75%
0-1 @ 7.49%
0-2 @ 5.02%
1-3 @ 3.46%
2-3 @ 2.67%
0-3 @ 2.24%
1-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 33.06%

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