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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 34
Sep 19, 2021 at 9pm UK
PPL Park
OC

Philadelphia
3 - 1
Orlando City

Wagner (37'), Przybylko (61', 89' pen.)
Flach (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ruan (57')
Schlegel (33'), Ruan (59'), Michel (75'), Gallese (80'), Jansson (80'), Aguilera (86')
Carlos (88')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 50.48%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 24.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawOrlando City
50.48%25.47%24.05%
Both teams to score 49.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.67%53.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.13%74.87%
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.85%21.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46%54%
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.75%37.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.96%74.03%
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 50.47%
    Orlando City 24.05%
    Draw 25.46%
Philadelphia UnionDrawOrlando City
1-0 @ 12.23%
2-0 @ 9.51%
2-1 @ 9.39%
3-0 @ 4.92%
3-1 @ 4.86%
3-2 @ 2.4%
4-0 @ 1.91%
4-1 @ 1.89%
4-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 50.47%
1-1 @ 12.08%
0-0 @ 7.88%
2-2 @ 4.64%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 25.46%
0-1 @ 7.78%
1-2 @ 5.97%
0-2 @ 3.84%
1-3 @ 1.96%
2-3 @ 1.53%
0-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 24.05%

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