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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 44
Oct 31, 2021 at 5pm UK
National Sports Center
SK

Minnesota Utd
2 - 1
Kansas

Fragapane (20'), Reynoso (39' pen.)
Alonso (73'), Fragapane (84')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Shelton (8')
Duke (48'), Kinda (79'), Dia (86')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 47.1%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 27.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.

Result
Minnesota UnitedDrawSporting Kansas City
47.1%25.52%27.38%
Both teams to score 52.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.9%51.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.05%72.95%
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.3%21.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.15%54.85%
Sporting Kansas City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.77%33.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.17%69.83%
Score Analysis
    Minnesota United 47.09%
    Sporting Kansas City 27.38%
    Draw 25.51%
Minnesota UnitedDrawSporting Kansas City
1-0 @ 11.01%
2-1 @ 9.27%
2-0 @ 8.42%
3-1 @ 4.72%
3-0 @ 4.29%
3-2 @ 2.6%
4-1 @ 1.8%
4-0 @ 1.64%
4-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 47.09%
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 7.21%
2-2 @ 5.11%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.51%
0-1 @ 7.94%
1-2 @ 6.69%
0-2 @ 4.38%
1-3 @ 2.46%
2-3 @ 1.88%
0-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 27.38%

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