Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 62.03%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 18.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.03%) and 3-1 (7.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Los Angeles Galaxy win it was 1-2 (5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.
