Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 45.78%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.