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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 42
Oct 28, 2021 at 3am UK
Empire Field
MU

Vancouver
2 - 1
Minnesota Utd

Boxall (45' og.), White (63')
Jungwirth (38'), Brown (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Adi (90+1')
Dotson (84'), Reynoso (90')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 45.78%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.

Result
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawMinnesota United
45.78%25.57%28.65%
Both teams to score 53.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.44%50.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.53%72.47%
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.93%22.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.59%55.41%
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.03%31.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.57%68.43%
Score Analysis
    Vancouver Whitecaps 45.78%
    Minnesota United 28.65%
    Draw 25.56%
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawMinnesota United
1-0 @ 10.66%
2-1 @ 9.19%
2-0 @ 8.06%
3-1 @ 4.63%
3-0 @ 4.06%
3-2 @ 2.64%
4-1 @ 1.75%
4-0 @ 1.53%
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 45.78%
1-1 @ 12.15%
0-0 @ 7.05%
2-2 @ 5.24%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.56%
0-1 @ 8.04%
1-2 @ 6.93%
0-2 @ 4.59%
1-3 @ 2.64%
2-3 @ 1.99%
0-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 28.65%

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