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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 29
Sep 11, 2021 at 12am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
OC

Atlanta
3 - 0
Orlando City

Campbell (25'), Dike (38' og.), Barco (72')
Franco (34'), Campbell (45+1'), Sosa (81')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Carlos (37')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawOrlando City
44.16%26.87%28.97%
Both teams to score 49.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.47%55.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.3%76.7%
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.01%24.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.35%59.65%
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.67%34.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.96%71.04%
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 44.15%
    Orlando City 28.97%
    Draw 26.87%
Atlanta UnitedDrawOrlando City
1-0 @ 11.89%
2-1 @ 8.82%
2-0 @ 8.25%
3-1 @ 4.08%
3-0 @ 3.81%
3-2 @ 2.18%
4-1 @ 1.41%
4-0 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 44.15%
1-1 @ 12.72%
0-0 @ 8.58%
2-2 @ 4.71%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.87%
0-1 @ 9.17%
1-2 @ 6.8%
0-2 @ 4.9%
1-3 @ 2.42%
0-3 @ 1.75%
2-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 28.97%

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